Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.075809 1.212650 1.361921 1.537113 1.737443 1.959765 2.225738
2026-01-04 0.890357 1.076449 1.295617 1.573908 1.919451 2.336428 2.880794
2026-01-11 0.762347 0.975734 1.243325 1.606044 2.088731 2.714327 3.595223
2026-01-18 0.664262 0.891701 1.192369 1.623227 2.231818 3.071200 4.334733
2026-01-25 0.576743 0.806011 1.122980 1.599361 2.307879 3.339665 4.987321
2026-02-01 0.495396 0.716396 1.033825 1.530851 2.303890 3.484459 5.470763
2026-02-08 0.435892 0.649975 0.968225 1.485410 2.323376 3.660408 6.021925
2026-02-15 0.390055 0.598086 0.917207 1.453839 2.356858 3.857772 6.632711
2026-02-22 0.367947 0.579968 0.915498 1.499306 2.519792 4.287545 7.711899
2026-03-01 0.342605 0.553613 0.897076 1.513520 2.629217 4.636949 8.698485
2026-03-08 0.311916 0.515154 0.854279 1.479906 2.647899 4.822790 9.398284
2026-03-15 0.284231 0.479006 0.811570 1.441012 2.650760 4.977062 10.056388
2026-03-22 0.273275 0.471803 0.820253 1.500456 2.854628 5.562908 11.752732
2026-03-29 0.259826 0.458928 0.817635 1.538760 3.023662 6.107956 13.477424
2026-04-05 0.246757 0.445420 0.812381 1.571248 3.185653 6.664693 15.347541
2026-04-12 0.233038 0.429293 0.800393 1.588543 3.317870 7.177751 17.223172
2026-04-19 0.216082 0.405321 0.770705 1.565469 3.358532 7.490026 18.661333
2026-04-26 0.196221 0.373858 0.723092 1.498651 3.291411 7.539090 19.418888
2026-05-03 0.180637 0.349552 0.687672 1.454303 3.270214 7.695685 20.504632
2026-05-10 0.167840 0.329788 0.659769 1.423478 3.276890 7.922644 21.840794
2026-05-17 0.162942 0.325862 0.664715 1.467908 3.473133 8.668147 24.878906
2026-05-24 0.155752 0.316468 0.656991 1.481798 3.594757 9.236826 27.516308
2026-05-31 0.145392 0.299423 0.630962 1.448960 3.591246 9.462298 29.112359